For miss K: Mr. B.

>> Wednesday, June 30, 2010

miss k asked: hello stephanie.. i hav a ques for u. it's simple. currently me and mr.B are not talkin to each other (due to sth that he did) and i told him i never wanna see him again. the thing is, the ques is.. will the matter be resolved and will he contact me back? funnily, i somehow hav a feeling that he would. but it's just a feeling tho. thank you for ur reading.

I'm usually very tolerant of misspelling and grammar, but I have to mention that I'd prefer not to address questions better suited to twitter, chat ot text messaging. I understand imperfect grammar, punctuation and spelling can happen to the best of us, but there is a limit.

As for your question, I'm assuming you don't feel it's resolved as it is. I'll do my standard past, present and future.

Past - Cups I - This card speaks of nascent (beginning) relationships (particularly romance), raw emotions and someone who cares for you. If this is a reflection of Mr. B, then it argues he cared about you, that he was a nurturing and healing influence.

Present - XX Judgement - Not surprisingly, this is a card of judgement and change, of key decisions that affect life or death. This card also holds the possibility of forgiveness and improvement.

Future - Wands III (Reversed) - In the reversed position, this card speaks of lessening trouble, but also a wariness of help, perhaps a coldness, self-centeredness or stubbornness. It's not clear to me from this card whether the stubbornness works to the making things better or whether they are the impediments to improvement.

I can't tell you whether he will call or not, but the cards seem to agree with a general sense I have that your situation is not resolved as it is. If it's pride or stubbornness that keeps you from addressing it directly (or him), perhaps it can only reach resolution by going past that. But it's not clear.

Good luck.

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For Aron: Aerogel instead of Shuttle Tiles?

>> Tuesday, June 29, 2010


Aron asked: So...I have the most insane idea for the shuttle, ever. Do you think it would be possible to strip all the tiles from the shuttle and replace it with aerogel and a thin ceramic to keep the aerogel in place. (It's insane and would increase the chance of damage to the shuttle) This could cut the weight.

It could cut the weight, in theory, given the density of aerogel. Aerogel has a density of 1.9 kg/m^3. Most of the tiles weigh in at ~144 kg/m^3 and, given that aerogel is pretty structurally strong and a great insulator, you might not even need the same volume to have the same thermal protection.

However, we might want to be careful before we get our Shuttle scrapers out and do the work.

First off, aerogel is hydrophilic (attracts and absorbs water), which means a couple of months sitting in Florida's humidity is unlikely to be good. Absorbing water not only drastically increases weight, but also cause it to deteriorate rapidly. Still, the Shuttle tiles also have to be waterproofed and there is a process for making aerogel hydroscopic (water repelling).

It's also friable which means it shatters like glass. I know it was used to gather space dust, so it can take tiny fast impacts, but I'm not sure how it would handle blunt trauma, handling, foam impact, etc.

Truthfully, we've known about aerogel for some time but I've never seen any suggestions or designs that use aerogel for a proposed spacecraft thermal protection system except early on; when the design matures, aerogel is taken off the table. I don't know why but I assume there good reasons for it. Perhaps it can't take the cold (as opposed to the heat). Perhaps it does poorly in high UV situations or is susceptible to atomic oxygen.

If whatever the problems are can be overcome (without degrading the thermal/density properties) of aerogel, perhaps some future designs will use it.

However, even if it were perfect, it might not be worth our while to change the Shuttle. As you know, there aren't many missions left for the Shuttle. Removing all the tile and replacing it (which hasn't I believe, been done in their lifetimes) would take months and probably force a recertification of the Shuttle. That's millions/billions of dollars. I'm not sure they could all be removed without potential damage to the underlying structure.

And Shuttle has some limitations - vendors no longer in business, limited spares and equipment, aging infrastructure and avionics - that replacing the tiles won't fix. Nor do I know that aerogel would better withstand foam. That makes extending the Shuttle to make the huge investment worthwhile (and to take advantage of the weight difference) a pretty bad deal I would think.

But, then, it's all speculation.

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For Aron: Integration Engineers

>> Saturday, June 26, 2010


Aron asked: What does a integration engineer do in the modern age? I thought most system interfaces where standardized.

Aron, you're such a dreamer. Actually, in the world where USB and computer connectors are becoming more and more predictable, in a world where one makes thousands if not millions of a single model of a unit, you may be right.

It's not true of space exploration or many of your other rarified engineering fields. People talk about standardization in these fields, but what they mean is that everyone should be building stuff like *they* do. Instead, contractors win contracts for subsets of complex few-of-a-kind spacecraft that will need to interact with other subsets (built by different contractors) but will likely hire subcontractors to built part of their subset rather than building the whole thing in-house.

Each contractor, subcontractor, and NASA will want to be the last word to define the many (many many many many) interfaces involved. Even if NASA puts its foot down and defines all the ones between subsets and spacecraft, they rarely dictate interfaces internally (though there's an argument that doing so makes sense, but that's a different post). However, it wouldn't matter if they did. Contractors still use the interfaces that are cheapest or associated with favored vendors, and they'll just ask for an exception. And they'll probably get it.

Do you need integration engineers to make sure everything works together using this and that interface? Damn straight.

However, even if interfaces were all standard, you'd still need integration engineers, because all the different pieces are built by different groups and different companies, with often independent software and computers and all that good stuff. And integration engineers test it and make sure it all works together like it's supposed to. Integration engineers are often the ones who put all the pieces together for procedures and instruction so people can use the equipment.

Do we need integration engineers. You betcha.

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For Miss T: What Does He Think of Me

>> Thursday, June 24, 2010

Miss T clarified: back to your question on 'Will he call back?' sorry , my question was rather vague. let me put it in another way then, i just wanted to know how does he ( this guy friend of mine) really feel about me deep down.. he seems rather hard to read at times. is it possible if u could pull out a few cards? as in, how does he really feel about me from the time u pull out the cards and throughout this summer rather than past, present and future. is that possible for u to help find out? i'll have an open heart for what the card has got to say.

Alright, I'll try it. Original question here.

What he thinks now - Swords IX (reversed) - suffering, doubt, worry, scandal-mongering, obsessing, cunning. A card like this, if it refers to your friend, hardly looks like the kind of mindset healthy for a relationship, even a business one. There are aspects of cruelty and malice. Given the nature of your question, though, it may be more a reflection of your own state of mind, beset by doubt and a bit overworried.

What he'll think in the short term - Cups I (reversed) - poverty, scheming, cunning, suspicious, relationship needs growth, trouble starting a relationship, fair weather friends. Again, not promising in the reversed position, seemingly focused on either a great deal of trouble starting a relationship, or one that is unhealthy and deceitful with someone having ulterior motives.

What he'll feel at the end of the summer - Knight of Coins - dull plodding individual, good with hands, consumed with materiality.

Hmm. None of these cards are propitious. The first two cards talk about trying something, perhaps forcing something that won't work (or won't work easily) or that seems downright unhealthy. The last card, I'm not sure but would guess that it's talking about either his view of you or his focus on materiality. Either way, based on these cards, I'm not sure it's somewhere you want to go or a relationship you want to pursue.

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For Willow: Go Back

>> Monday, June 21, 2010

Willow asked: If you have the time / inclination, would it be possible to do something like asking for an indication of how Options A B & C would fit me, by drawing a card for each option? (does that make sense?)

On this blog, m'dear, your wish is my command. Here's your original post and I've included a quick recap.

Option A (Creative Writing MFA) - Wands I - Wands I is a propitious card, one that bodes well for career, creativity, profit, creation, and beginnings. From this card, I'd have to say the cards were certainly encouraging.

Option B (Massage Therapy w/commuting) - Wands IV (inverted) - This card speaks of lost traquility, unfulfilled romance, unstability, incomplete happiness. From this card (as it is in the reversed position), I'd have to say the cards are concerned about the toll this path will take on your marriage and your happiness. Not that it couldn't be overcome - I don't see that - but that the price might be heavier than expected.

Option C (Starting a yoga daycare) - Cups V - This card tells a different story than I thought I read in my previous reading. Cups V is about disappointment and disillusion, hard work and remorse. There is a potential for emotional fulfillment, but it hardly looks like smooth sailing and, again, there appears to be a price.

Seems like asking for more cards has indeed changed the flavor of the reading. Smart move.

Good luck!

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For Shakespeare: Another Career Reading

>> Saturday, June 19, 2010


Shakespeare asked: My husband has an interview with a job in the Southeast. Could I have a reading for it?

Yes, yes you could. I assume you want to know how it will go and/or if the job will be good for him. Given that I've read for you and your husband before, I'll forgo the past card.

So, I'll pull a present situation card, a card to represent outlook for success with the interview and a card that would represent the prospects for him if he lands/takes the job.

Present - Wands IX - looks like the anticipation of change (or problems)

Outlook - Wands I (reversed) - In the reversed position, this card is not hopeful that the interview will go well. This is a card of false starts and thwarted goals, specifically a career prospect that fails.

Prospects - Coins VII (reversed) - This card (in the reversed position) speaks of empty promises and disappointment, a situation that does not go as planned. Perhaps it's for the best that the cards see the interview being less than successful.

But it begs the question, if this isn't the right opportunity, will another come that bodes better? I'll ask.

Swords I - from this card, which speaks of victory and success, it would seem so.

Any hints on what to look for, I ask?

Swords IV (reversed) - Hmm, in the reversed position, this card speaks of wise management and prudence.

I hope that helps.

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For Willow: Career Advice

>> Friday, June 18, 2010


Willow wanted to know: I am contemplating three distinct paths, can the cards indicate the better/best fit for me? They are:

a. pursuing a MFA in Creative Writing, a 2+year course that would involve extensive commuting;

b. a diploma in Massage Therapy that would last 8 months, and reduce the time spent with my husband to only weekends;

c. combining certification in yoga for kids with an associate's degree in early childhood education with the objective of providing a niche daycare service for yoga-savvy moms.

I will not make a decision made purely on your readings, of course, but I am very curious to know what the cards might say about my choices, and about me.

Thanks very much!

Well, this is a new one. I can't fault the specificity of the question, but I wonder if the cards will be able to make a distinction between these fields. But, you know, they've surprised me before. Let's see what we get. I'll do my standard past, present and future and see where I should go from there.

Past - Knight of Wands (reversed) - This card, in the reversed position, argues that your past is plagued with more talk than action, that getting realistic and focusing on a future path has been a struggle for you.

Present - Coins VI (reversed) - This card carries on the theme of the last: indecision and a need for assistance perhaps insight from without.

Future - Cups III - But, if this card is any indication, whatever you choose brings you great satisfaction. This card is all about emotional satisfaction, abundance and fulfillment. Unfortunately, that doesn't really help me narrow your choices except that this is a card that focuses on communication, caring and sharing. There is also a focus here on fertility and hospitality, too. From this card alone, if I were guessing, I would see an edge for option c.

However, it's hardly definitive so I'll see if we can get a bit of clarification.

Page of Cups - a card about caring and loving and imagination that exemplifies service with definite indications involving children (including another hint, like Cups III, of becoming a parent.

If I'm going to make a recommendation base on the cards, I'd have to say they seem to favor option C - and they expect it will work for you.

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For Jeff King: Global Warming

>> Thursday, June 17, 2010

Jeff asked: Is global warming valid; is it really true in your mind?

Yes. But let me clarify.

The term, "global warming" is probably accurate for the long term. In the shorter term, the term "global climate change" is probably more appropriate because the process isn't simple or readily predictable.

But do I think humans are in the process of making a profound (and potentially somewhat irreversible) change to the world's climate (and more)? Yes. And I don't know a reputable scientist who doubts it. In the scientific community, what has fuzz on it is not what carbon does to the climate, but how fast it does it, how much is irreversible, and exactly what the impacts are going to be if we (a) stop now and (b) continue to pump carbon dioxide into the atmosphere as if there were no repercussions. The question really isn't, will our children and our children's children pay a price for our excesses? They will. The question is, "How much and which children?"

Right now, for instance, I don't think anyone contemplates a runaway greenhouse like Venus because, hey, that would really kill us all. Even our direst predictions don't take us there (though I might add that all our greenhouse models can't get us to how hot Venus is, so clearly they aren't complete and can underpredict the effects).

But there are a few facts that people who walk into the discussion should acknowledge. First, the greenhouse effect is a demonstrable phenomena. Large amounts of carbon in a simple system can be shown to increase the temperature by absorbing more of the energy from the sun. (See explanation here.) Atmospheric carbon dioxide (and other gases like methane) change the absorption of energy by the sun. That's not in question.

However, unlike a science experiment, the world's atmospheric system is very complex. So there isn't a direct simple correlation to the tons of carbon we pump into the atmosphere to direct temperature change. Why?

There are a number of factors we know about. For one thing, warmer oceans and plant life absorb carbon. However, we don't know whether that can happen indefinitely or if we'll reach a saturation level and stop. And more carbon in the ocean means a greater acidity, which affects a huge and delicate ecosystem. We don't know the repercussions for the water world entirely, but we know it can affect coral reefs and other coastal waters. Even if we didn't have a responsibility to preserve our oceans, we should bear in mind how many millions, no billions, of people depend on the oceans for sustenance.

Warmer temperatures might affect the strength and prevalence of storms, or the extremes of temperatures in the seasons (as might be expected when putting more energy into a chaotic system - you get some unpredictable results). It melts glaciers which uses up some of that energy, but the reduction in ice surface coverage and increases in airborn water vapor (water vapor is another greenhouse gas) increases the energy absorbed even more (as ice reflects more energy away than land or water).

But that sounds like speculation. And, to an extent, it is. We can't tell for certain, what changes will happen, how fast, or what the long term effects will be.

So, why worry? Well, because not knowing how bad it's going to be doesn't mean that changes aren't coming. We know they are because some are here. Glacier retreat is demonstrable arctic ice is at some of it's lowest measured levels. Average global temperature has been increasing. Droughts the past few years have been some of the worst in recorded history - as have been a number of floods and storms. Most of the predictions, even the most dire, about ice loss fifteen years ago, for instance, have turned out to underpredict the actual loss seen, particularly in South America and Greenland.

Glacier melt has been noted as potentially leading to higher sea levels, but the effects are more chilling than that. The same melt that can raise sea levels, can also cause devastating flooding (as glaciers are frequently the sources for rivers) in the short term, but worse, also potentially dry up rivers that literally billions of people depend on for water. That's not hype. It's happening in the Andes right now.

In fact, given the data that's available, I don't think one can reasonably doubt the fact that we have affected the climate. But I'm not sure anyone knows for sure how far-reaching those changes are going to be and when we're going to step in to stop our part in it.

I'm not frightened by the alarmists on this, with their "worst case scenarios." What frightens me is that most of the worst ones I've heard have fallen short of the reality we've seen. Many of the changes we're seeing today, no one expected for another fifteen years.

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For Aron: College Admissions

>> Wednesday, June 16, 2010


Aron asked: My sister is applying to college next school year, what can I do to help her?

Well, it depends on what she's done.

First, I'd think about what you did when you were getting ready for college. Does she have all her testing, SATs and ACTs? They can make a big difference. I know both of those tests were key to getting my scholarships and entree into good schools.

Secondly, she should do her research. What is she interested in pursuing? What features is she looking for in a good school. Knowing what schools she interested in can help her focus on what she needs to do to prepare.

Aside from that, well, I don't know. That's all I did, but I was going to a local school. Here's some more advice here.

As for your part in it all, be as supportive as you can, especially if the whole process makes her a little nuts.

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For Anonymous: Blog Dogs

>> Monday, June 14, 2010

Anonymous asked: Today.com recently changed its name to Blog Dog. What are your thoughts on the name change?

Sounds rather fitting.

Not an organization I would want to have anything to do with now or in the future. I do learn from past mistakes.

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For Miss T: Is He Going to Call?

>> Sunday, June 13, 2010

Miss T asked: i called and messaged this guy fren of mine, asking him to call me bak for business purposes ( was interested in sth that he had been selling). apart from that, i do really like him, and im feeling kinda insecure. and rite now he hasnt called me bak yet. can u pls do a reading on whether will he call me back? and how it's gonna be.

Well, I did say anything. The problem with a reading for this question is that I don't really know the question.

Is it that you want him to call you back to sell something, or that you want him to call you back because you want him to be interested in you romantically. If I don't understand the question you are really trying to ask, the reading can be drastically skewed. I'll be looking for answers with regards to the question I think you're asking.

Please rephrase and let me know exactly what information you want (and simple questions lead to better answers than complex questions for the same reason. It reduces ambiguity.

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For Aron: Google Alert Links

>> Saturday, June 12, 2010

Aron asked: It seems more and more that my google alerts on space settlement link to sites the promote the idea of the world ending in 2012. Will this hurt the pro-space habitation movement and, if so, how do we minimise the damage?

I don't think it matters.

I don't think wondering if the world will end in 2012 precludes supporting space exploration/habitation and vice versa. Unless someone were interested in end of the world theories, they're unlikely to follow the link. I doubt anything they find will sway their opinion on the subject one way or the other.

If someone is convinced the world will end, well, I doubt the link will change their minds either. If they support space habitation, too, again, I don't see how that changes things.

Is it a little out of the science and technology realm you're going for? Yes. But I don't know that it hurts. People who are into the science and technology aspect are unlikely to follow the links anyway and ignore the ad type stuff as a matter of course (At least, I do.).

In either case, I doubt it's having much impact on the people you want to reach.

However, I'm not a marketing expert. This is all just my opinion.

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For Aron: Affiliates

>> Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Aron said: I'm trying out an affiliate program, but I feel like a scumbag for doing it. What do you think of blogs which use affiliate programs and is there an honest way to include affiliate links.

Wow, you may have figured out a way to stump me. I have no idea. In fact, I have only a vague idea of what an affiliate is.

If the affiliate is an organization you're pleased with, proud to be associated with, I wouldn't worry about any guilt. By all means, promote it.

If it's more of an ad thing, I wouldn't be ashamed of that either. Be cognizant to ensure ads aren't run that offend you or preach against your own views, but, other than that, I wouldn't worry about it. There's nothing wrong with making a little on your blog.

I have no objection to blogs who do either method, profit or support for organizations they admire. In the end, the blog should reflect who you are and your priorities. Do what works for you, and let the chips fall where they may.

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For Aron: Blog Format

>> Monday, June 7, 2010

Aron asked: When I posted my essays on space from school, they preformed well and I felt I made a significant impact. I'm considering switching my blog to an essay format, but that is time intensive. What are your thoughts?

One of the rules I, personally, live by is to write what I like to read, write what I want in the way I want it.

When it comes to fiction, I have to worry somewhat what others think, but only insofar as it's in keeping with my own vision. If I have to sacrifice my vision, better to be unpublished. With the blog, I don't even bother that much. Instead, I'm focused on what I want to say, how I want to say it and let the chips fall as they will. I have no ads, make no money (nor pay any) for my blogs.

I consider it a forum to write as I will.

To answer your question, you need to ask yourself questions. How you answer them determines what you'd best do.

If your blog is an opportunity to state your case, your views, your dreams and hope they're contagious, do what works best for you, not working any harder than need be to accomplish that goal. If, however, you're most interested in reaching people, influencing them, shaping policy, than a more aggressive or reader-friendly format might work.

The thing is, if you're into reaching people, I'm not sure what the most effective format is. Some say keep it short and sweet, that those posts tend to be the most popular. Humor, of course, is often effective. Unfortunately, I have no data to back up that notion. Easily my most popular post of all time (>10K hits) was a long bit about the metric system.

Of you're looking for advice for increased readership, I'm a poor one to advise you. I would say, however, to stick with a format you're comfortable with, one that isn't so taxing you are discouraged from posting, but also one that you feel reaches people.

Because I can't see how to reach people if you're not feeling it.

Just my opinion. Hope it helps.

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For Aron: Stitch In Time Mentality

>> Saturday, June 5, 2010


Aron asked: Why on earth who BP, would anyone choose to not implement a safety feature if it is reasonable to put it in?

Ah, Aron, why indeed. Except people do. Time after time after time after time. BP did so egregiously, obviously, and it serves as an example. But there are untold numbers of examples daily. Ground tests are skipped for new designs ("passed by similarity"), flight tests are cut, second and third tier equipment is purchased for critical functions because we can't wait or because they're too expensive. We have little beeps in our cars to let us know we've left the keys in or the lights on, but we don't have anything to tell us we've left a child in the backseat (though it would be child's play to do) - as if a dead battery outranks a dead child.

Why do we do this?

Well, there are a number of reasons.

(a) Money now vs. risk later. This year's budget is tight and we gamble that the piper will never have to be paid. Statistically speaking, there are few catastrophic failures so you gamble this won't be one of them, even the steps to prevent it are inexpensive and simple. That drop of prevention, while nothing compared to the profits BP (and the others involved) make, is one more item on the bottom line that someone, somewhere is willing to forgo because they think the risk is minimal. Note that "minimal risk" is usually focused on "likelihood" - what are the chances something bad will happen, rather than the extents of the horror, the realistic understanding of what could happen if you have catastrophic failure. There are some good things about probabilistic risk assessment (quantitative estimates of risk) - it's great for discovering what risks require mitigation - but too often it becomes a justification for doing nothing even if the fix for a problem is readily available and/or inexpensive.

(b) Doing the bare minimum. This is why self-regulation has a horrible track record (see recent financial fiascos). Too often people believe that all they are responsible for is to do the barest minimum of the requirements, no more. Even if doing the right thing is only an inconsequent amount more effort, that's not in their contract. If no one requires it, they won't do it. This is especially true if no one's looking. Instead, they'll try to do as little as possible (sometimes not even doing the minimum) and fight against standards and regulations that require things to be done properly, because what they save is money in their pockets unless something bad happens.

(c) Somebody else's problem. Passing the buck. No one has responsibility for the whole thing. The people paying for set up or safety equipment, they're not the ones who are going to do clean up or damage control. Most people are focused on their own bottom line, get done the bare minimum to past muster and pass it on, hoping it fails on someone else's watch. People juggling a test and verification budget might not be the people responsible for the flight or the implementation.

(d) It can't happen to me syndrome. Same things that keep people from buying "baby in the car seat" alarms. We're too diligent, too experienced, too expert to fail. We're using "proven hardware" or are so expert, we give ourselves credit we haven't demonstrated in testing and forgo safeguards or oversight designed to catch unexpected failures. Failures that fail to manifest (even though they can change the world as this one appears to be doing) quickly are seen as "noncredible" or "impossible". Frequently, safety precautions (inspections, tests, fail-safe equipment, etc) that were once deemed required are soon seen as a needless luxury, so much unnecessary flotsom that can be disposed of without a qualm.

(e) Someone else will pick up the tab if the worst happens. This does happen. There are actually caps oil companies have on what they'll pay for this kind of disaster (though it seems BP is going to ignore it and keep paying) and insurance and government intervention, yadda yadda yadda. What it really is is an excuse to sidestep the responsibility. And it ignores the public relations impact on your company, your business, your government endeavor. I've pointed out to NASA that failure means more than the billions lost on equipment and personnel - the PR impact is incalculable. I have to say that the personnel should be enough, but I'm like that.

So, what does all that mean? Not a damn thing. No excuses are enough. Not for BP, not for NASA, not for the financial hotshots, not for any of the other organizations when they have the capacity to do things right and choose not to. When the results are unacceptable, no failure should be tolerated. If you can do something to prevent it, even if it's overkill, you should. If you have a solution for a problem, a risk that can be eliminated, you should make it so.

For want of a nail. . . I can't begin to estimate the costs, the heartbreak, the embarrassment that's gone on through the ages with people who could readily have prevented tragedy, only to fail spectacularly because they didn't do the best they could.

It shouldn't be acceptable.

In my opinion.

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For those Keeping Score

>> Friday, June 4, 2010

It's been about a month since anyone asked me any questions. Should I shut her down? Or do you have more to ask?

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